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ESMA Confirms Binary Options Bans Cover Event Contracts and Prediction Markets, EU, 3 July 2026

The European Securities and Markets Authority published statement ESMA35-243228190-8148 on 3 July 2026, confirming that national product intervention measures on binary options already capture event contracts sold on prediction market platforms. Contracts referencing an underlying in Section C(4) to (10) of Annex I to MiFID II are financial instruments, and their marketing, distribution or sale to retail clients in the EU is prohibited. Operators serving only professional clients still require MiFID II authorisation.

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The European Securities and Markets Authority published a public statement on 3 July 2026, reference ESMA35-243228190-8148, on the application of national product intervention measures on binary options to event contracts. The statement is supervisory clarification rather than new legislation, and it operates through the national measures already in force.

ESMA defines event contracts as agreements whose financial outcome is binary, a fixed payout or no payout at all, turning on a yes-or-no answer to a question about a future event. Only contracts tied to an underlying listed in Section C(4) to (10) of Annex I to MiFID II qualify as financial instruments. Where they do, they are derivatives, and the national product intervention measures adopted under Article 40 of Regulation (EU) No 600/2014, following ESMA Decision (EU) 2018/795 of 22 May 2018, prohibit their marketing, distribution or sale to retail clients.

Platforms offering event contracts to users in the European Union are the direct target. ESMA states that the provision of investment services and activities concerning financial instruments in the EU requires authorisation under MiFID II irrespective of the category of clients, so an operator serving only professional clients still needs permission. Firms must test the actual characteristics of each product, because the commercial name given to a contract does not determine its regulatory treatment.

The retail prohibition bites only where the contract references an underlying within Section C(4) to (10) of Annex I to MiFID II, which leaves contracts on other subject matter outside the measures. ESMA places the assessment on firms, each of which must analyse its products against the national measure applying in the relevant Member State.

Licentium advises trading venues, brokers and digital asset platforms on MiFID II classification and product intervention exposure across the European Union. Work we undertake includes financial instrument classification opinions on event contracts, authorisation and passporting analysis, and reviews of retail distribution controls against national binary options measures.

Source: ESMA35-243228190-8148, Public Statement on the application of the national product intervention measures on binary options to event contracts (3 July 2026)

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