From the journal

CSA and CIRO Issue Guidance on Prediction Market Regulation in Canada, April 2026

On April 2, 2026, the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) and the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) jointly issued a public notice reminding industry participants and investors of the existing regulatory requirements that govern prediction markets and event contracts in Canada. The notice is at the final, published stage and carries immediate compliance effect across all CSA jurisdictions. The controlling authority is the securities and derivatives legislation applicable

3 min read

On April 2, 2026, the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) and the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) jointly issued a public notice reminding industry participants and investors of the existing regulatory requirements that govern prediction markets and event contracts in Canada. The notice is at the final, published stage and carries immediate compliance effect across all CSA jurisdictions.

The controlling authority is the securities and derivatives legislation applicable in each CSA jurisdiction. For event contracts that qualify as binary options with a term to maturity of less than 30 days, Multilateral Instrument 91-102, Prohibition of Binary Options, prohibits any person from advertising, offering, selling, or otherwise trading such instruments with or to an individual. The CSA notice also references a CIRO bulletin published on March 26, 2026, titled "Application of CIRO Requirements to Event Contracts," which sets out the terms and conditions under which CIRO dealer members may facilitate Canadian client access to event contracts, including contracts executed on foreign regulated prediction markets. At present, two CIRO members have received authorization on these terms.

Operators of prediction market platforms directing activity toward Canadian users must be registered or recognized under the securities or derivatives laws of the applicable CSA jurisdiction, or hold an applicable exemption. Failure to comply may result in enforcement action by CSA members. CIRO dealer members authorized to facilitate access to event contracts remain subject to CIRO's product eligibility criteria and trading conditions, which may be revised at any time. No prediction market platform has yet received recognition as an exchange or registration as a dealer, or an exemption from those requirements, by any CSA member.

The CSA and CIRO stated that they continue to monitor developments in this area and may issue further guidance on how securities or derivatives legislation applies to prediction markets and event contracts. They also reserved the right to impose additional regulatory action, including changes to the terms and conditions contained in the CIRO bulletin. Any industry participant seeking to trade, or to facilitate trading in, event contracts with Canadian investors must contact their local CSA member and CIRO before commencing activity.

Our firm advises prediction market operators, event contract platforms, and registered dealers on compliance with Canadian securities and derivatives requirements, and maintains a dedicated partnership network to assist clients with the applicable multi-jurisdictional requirements. We welcome inquiries on matters relating to event contract regulation, prediction market licensing, CIRO dealer member conditions, binary option prohibitions, exchange recognition, and CSA registration exemptions.

Source: Canadian Securities Administrators, "Prediction markets: CSA and CIRO remind industry and investors of the current rules," April 2, 2026, https://www.securities-administrators.ca/news/prediction-markets-csa-and-ciro-remind-industry-and-investors-of-the-current-rules/; CIRO, Application of CIRO Requirements to Event Contracts, March 26, 2026, https://www.ciro.ca.

The information provided is not legal, tax, investment, or accounting advice and should not be used as such. It is for discussion purposes only. Seek guidance from your own legal counsel and advisors on any matters. The views presented are those of the author and not any other individual or organization. Some parts of the text may be automatically generated. The author of this material makes no guarantees or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of the information.

Prediction Markets

More from the journal

See all

Bank of England Publishes Draft Rules for Systemic Stablecoin Issuers

The Bank of England published a policy statement and draft Code of Practice setting out the regulatory regime for systemic stablecoin issuers in the UK in June 2026. The draft rules introduce a GBP 40 billion temporary issuance guardrail per stablecoin, permit issuers to hold up to 70% of reserves in short-term UK government debt, and require the balance in central bank deposits. The consultation closes 22 September 2026; the Bank intends to finalise the Code of Practice by end of 2026.

Connecticut Enacts AI Responsibility and Transparency Act, Effective October 2026

On 2 June 2026, Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont signed Senate Bill 5 into law as Public Act 26-15, the Connecticut Artificial Intelligence Responsibility and Transparency Act. The law creates disclosure obligations for employers using automated employment decision tools, governance requirements for frontier AI developers, product standards for AI companion systems, and safety obligations for online platforms serving minors. Most provisions take effect 1 October 2026; the Attorney General holds exclusive enforcement authority.

EU AI Act Article 50 Transparency Obligations Apply from 2 August 2026

Four categories of transparency obligations under Article 50 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 become binding on AI system providers and deployers across the EU on 2 August 2026. The European Commission published a final Code of Practice on Transparency of AI-Generated Content on 10 June 2026 as a voluntary compliance tool, alongside draft guidelines issued on 8 May 2026 that remain under finalisation. AI systems placed on the EU market before the August deadline have until 2 December 2026 to comply with the machine-readable marking obligation in Article 50(2).